| Bankroll Management |
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| Poker is a game played with and for money.
Money is not only the way of keeping score, it is also your ammunition
at the table. The nice thing about poker though is that you can
choose how many units your money represents. In a $1-$2 table the blinds
will be $0.50-$1, so if you have $100 in your bankroll this will be 100
units. That same $100 bankroll would only be 10 units in a
$10-$20 game so make sure you choose a game within your means.
This principle is the essence of bankroll management. |
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| Poker Strategy - Bankroll Management -
Calculating Risk of Ruin |
Risk of ruin is term used to refer to the
possibility of going broke. The idea behind it is that even good odds may
not be worth it if losing prevents you from taking advantage of a more favorable
position later. Risk of ruin calculations apply very well to tournament
situations and also for calculating how much money to bring to a cash game.
One thing to stress is that Risk of Ruin is only a consideration when you are
playing with a fixed, non replenish-able bankroll. This is always the case
in tournaments or sit n go's but for most casual cash game players this is never
really true. You can always make a new deposit at some point because you
probably still have additional sources of income. For someone who supports
themselves solely off of poker winnings risk of ruin is a very real and
legitimate concern.
Risk of Ruin is not a fixed value, but really an estimate based upon your
historical results and the cost of playing in a given game against your
bankroll. Many players continually maintain a set RoR to by varying the
stakes they play based on their bankroll. This essentially eliminates the
chances of going broke because as their bankroll dwindles they will continually
move downwards in stakes until their positive expectation begins to over come
their downturn. Of course for risk of ruin to be meaningful you must be a
profitable player, a player who averages a loss will eventually go broke
regardless of stakes.
To calculate Risk of Ruin = e-2 x WR
x BR ÷ (SD x SD) where e = Constant (2.718281828) and WR = Win
Rate and SD = Standard Deviation and BR = your Bankroll
Here is a simple
free risk of ruin calculator that can perform this operation for you.
Remember though, the results will only be as accurate as the information you put
into it, Garbage in, Garbage Out.
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| Poker Strategy - Bankroll
Management - Risk of Ruin, Real world Application |
So now you've figured out your win rate, your standard deviation and
have come up with a bankroll requirement for each given level. Now what
does this mean and how does risk of ruin work in real life? Well lets
just say that you have established 5% as the RoR you are comfortable
with and based on this and your win-rate and standard deviation you
figure you will need about 500BB blinds at the level you are currently
playing at. Perfect, but what if you now lose several hands? Or
even have several losing sessions? At what point do you move down...
This is important because as your bankroll dwindles the likelihood of
your losing it all increases. By continually moving down stakes you will
ensure your positive expectation eventually overcomes your losing
streak. You should always have two number when playing, an upper
limit where you will consider moving up the next level, and a lower
limit where you will move down in limits to recoup and rebuild your
bankroll. If 500 BB was the amount you needed to be comfortable at
that level set a lower limit at 2-3 full buy-ins below this as time to
move back down. By doing this your real world risk of ruin will
always be zero, provided you are a winning player and not simply playing
in games where you are outmatched. |
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| Poker Strategy - Bankroll Management - Playing within your means |
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Poker can be a fun and rewarding hobby. If done right poker can
even be a viable source of additional income. Even if you have a
history of winning at poker though be sure not to over commit yourself.
For individuals who wish to consider playing poker full time or
professionally the best strategy is to make a modest initial investment
and try and build a larger bankroll playing small stakes poker then as
the bankroll increases gradually stepping up through the limits until
such time as your profits in the game represent a comfortable living.
The key though is to limit that initial investment. It is simply
not reasonable to deposit thousands of dollars learning poker or seeing
if you can make money. Perhaps the greatest virtue of online poker
is the reduced rake and micro limit games available. These
small stakes cash games and tournaments allow beginning players to
cheaply hone skills and once proficient build up a large enough bankroll
to begin playing for big money.
If you are a casual player or someone who only plays from time to time
and you don't mind if poker costs you a little money as long as you have
a good time, that's okay too. But you should still be practicing
good money management. To avoid overspending on poker establish a
deposit limit for yourself or poker allowance. Never exceed this
limit, and when you have a really good day or week cash-out the profits.
Keep a log or spreadsheet of your results. That way if your a big
winner you'll know and you can take it up more seriously, and if your
losing your money faster then you like you can step down limits.
By playing at smaller limits you will be less vulnerable to
overaggressive players bluffing you off pots and will have more chips to
survive swings. Smaller tournaments also generally have weaker
competition so by dropping down you may also win more games, which will
definitely prolong your bankroll.
A good rule of thumb is if you for cash game limits is that if you are
playing off a fixed bankroll never play more then 5% of your bankroll as
the max table buy-in, if you are playing off a bankroll that can be
reloaded frequently if necessary a reasonable level is 25% of your
bankroll as the maximum table buy-in. Exact amounts vary widely
depending on the individual player and of course are totally meaningless
if long term you lose money as you will go broke no matter what, but
these buy-ins should be sufficient to overcome standard variance for
most players.
For players who simply don't have any money at all but love playing
poker make sure to keep an eye out for good freerolls and
no deposit
poker bonuses. In general poker sites are very generous when
acquiring new players and you often get small bankrolls to start out
with for free and then build up a large enough account to cash-out and
begin trying other sites until you find one you like.
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| Poker Strategy - Bankroll Management - Build your Poker Bankroll |
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Poker is a game played with money and for money. The game starts and ends
at your wallet and dollars are basically the only meaningful way of keeping
score. An important thing to realize is that poker is not a zero sum game, its
actually a negative sum game. This is because the "house" or the poker
room is taking a rake from every pot, or in tournaments a portion of the buy-in.
This means if you win exactly your share of the pots in a cash game over time
you will slowly lose money. The same applies to those sit and go
tournaments, even though 1st place pays half of the prize pool winning 1 out 5
ten player games will not even let you break even. This means the players who
are making money are beating you and everyone else at the table by enough to get
you to pay their rake and still leave a little something extra! These rake
fees are small in proportion to the size of the pots or the actual tournament
buy-in but over time they definitely add up, this is why poker is now a
multi-billion dollar industry and why the poker rooms are willing to offer
massive deposit bonuses to attract new players. Because these bonuses are
tied to a set number or player points the site is guaranteed to make money (they
are paying you your bonus out of the rake fees you contribute to the site), but
with a bonus you will be paying far less rake and this can make a HUGE
difference in building up your initial poker bankroll. It is not uncommon
to see bonuses between 100%-200% of your initial deposit. This is
essentially free money as you earn it by playing poker which you were going to
do anyway. Always try and get maximum value out of these bonuses by making
larger initial deposit when you join and check poker forums frequently for poker
reload bonuses. A reload bonus is when a poker room offers their existing
players a deposit bonus to make a new deposit.
If you don't have the money to go out a make a large initial deposit to take
advantage of these free offers that doesn't mean you are stuck playing poker for
play money. There are many sites that will actually give you a small poker
bankroll completely free. These initial bankroll are usually very small 5$-25$
but will give you an opportunity to try some real money play and a chance to
build a more substantial bankroll with absolutely no risk. By running
through several of these offers you should have some success at least once.
Withdraw your winnings to a Neteller account or other online wallet and you are
now ready to go shopping for a new poker home. If you fail the first few times
don't worry We have several of the no deposit bonuses listed in our poker rooms
section and will be continuing to add new offers as they become available.
Assuming you have already done all of the no deposit promos and spent your
winnings (we're hoping) or just had a bad run you can still get yourself a poker
bankroll with no investment by playing in freerolls. PokerForumSite
generally doesn't advocate the freerolls hosted by most sites because they tend
to teach you bad habits (people play very differently in freerolls then they do
in other games) and also because in many cases the hourly rate offered by
freerolls is impossibly low even if you are winning the events outright.
That being said a freeroll is better then playing for play chips because at
least there is some chance of winning money. Check back shortly as we are
currently evaluating the expected value of the various regularly scheduled
freerolls offered by the online poker rooms. We will update you shortly
with the best freeroll tournaments to play to get the most value for your time.
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| Poker Strategy - Bankroll Management -
Calculating & Forecasting
your Hourly Rate in Poker |
As more and more players beginning taking poker from a hobby or pastime
to fulltime job or maybe just a source of additional income people are
becoming more interested in trying to determine there hourly rate with
the idea being that once they hit a certain level they can quit the day
job and turn "pro". Well the first thing is calculating your
existing hourly rate isn't so hard as long as you are keeping detailed
notes, many programs like
pokertracker will calculate your hourly win-rate for you along with
all kinds of other stats, we also have free alternatives indexed for
your reference in our
poker
tools section. Using the stats you have accumulated take your total
winnings and divide by hours played. This can lead to some very
deceptive estimates though. Lets say player A has played 215 hours
of 1$-2$ no limit holdem and has lost 2000$ and has played 35 hours of
10$-20$ is up 9000$, he might take these numbers and do the math 9K won
- 2K lost = 7K profit, 250 hours played = 36$ an hour! And this
player would now be thinking "wow time to quit my job!". In
reality this number is very deceptive. In the game where
Player A has logged most of his play he is a substantial loser, down
almost 1000 big blinds, in the larger game where he has only logged a
few hours and he is up but only 450 big blinds, so assuming he was
playing equal stakes throughout his play he would still be down 550 big
blinds. If player A continues to play at the 10$-20$ level there
is a very good chance his upswing will be erased over time and he will
actually be losing money at a much faster rate then at the 1$-2$ level.
In general it is a good idea to examine hourly rate separately for each
limit or level you play, or if you must combine results at least first
convert all figures to big blind amounts and calculate your win rate
using this unit. By doing this you will get a much better picture
of your actual average hourly earnings. These results will
fluctuate wildly if you are using a small sample size so you really cant
put too much faith into the number until you have logged thousands of
playing hours.
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| Poker Strategy - Bankroll Management - Tracking your Poker Results |
Accurately logging and tracking all of your poker play is an important step on
the road to poker success. By keeping good records you should be able to
better determine which games are the most profitable and where you are losing
money. You will also be able to accurately gauge your level of play which
is helpful when making the decision to change limits. Their are several
options for logging your poker play, and something as simple as an excel
spreadsheet is a good place to start. The one problem with something like
a simple spreadsheet is it become cumbersome after time and doesn't give you a
lot of the details you might get other solutions. A really great
spreadsheet for tracking tournament results can be found free here. We are
working on creating a variant for cash game players.
If you are a serious player you may want to consider going with an option like
Poker Tracker of Poker Office. Both of these programs automatically track
your results as well as a wide variety of game statistics. They will not
only tell you what games you are winning with, but which individual hands and
positions give you the most profit or cost you most chips.
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